May 31, 2015
Ukraine’s Nuclear Dreams
Translated from Russian by J.Hawk
Ukraine’s former presidents Leonid Kravchuk and Leonid Kuchma followed Turchinov’s lead and started talking about Ukraine’s nuclear status. The two elderly retirees want to put on Rada’s agenda a proposal to leave the Non-Proliferation Treaty. That idea was raised by the two retired presidents during the recent 8th Values as a Path to Security forum held in Kiev.
A “dirty bomb” is Ukrainian patriots’ daily dream. They have neither the resources nor the know-how for an actual fission device.
I think it would be a mistake to entrust a monkey with a nuclear grenade. The longer UniUkraine continues to exist, the greater the danger the natives get their hands on a nuclear device. Something like that would be impossible in a normal country. But Ukraine has long passed the boundaries of normal.
J.Hawk’s Comment: This is most likely a trial balloon, which would explain why former presidents are the ones who are launching it. The intent may not be an actual device–what would you do with one, anyway? Besides, leaving NPT in order to go nuclear places you squarely in the same category as North Korea, which is presumably something Ukraine’s leaders are aware of. The real reason for the nuclear saber-rattling is most likely extortion–give us money, or else we might do something you really don’t like. Not that the approach is likely to work, since Western leaders know perfectly well Ukraine’s nuclear program could be easily strangled simply by forcing Ukraine into bankruptcy…