September 29, 2015 –
crimson alter, PolitRussia –
Translated for Fort Russ by J. Arnoldski
“Putin at the UN: It was steeper than Munich”
Let’s note a simple thing which is absolutely essential for understanding what happened in New York. The Kremlin, and this is already absolutely obvious, is going to put an end to ISIS. This will solve several Russian problems and give Russia some tangible bonuses:
- We will eliminate a terrorist threat to our country at a distance. Every ISISer killed in Syria is an ISISer which didn’t come to Russia to fight;
- Retaining control over Syria, we will permanently suspend the project of the Qatar-EU gas pipeline, which is a dream of the USA. The Russian gas stranglehold around the neck of Europe will remain in place, and this is very important;
- Eliminating ISIS in Syria and Iraq, we will cut off the supply of smuggled oil, which is sold at dumping prices, to world markets. This alone will pay for any military operation against ISIS within a few months, if not a few weeks.
- Russia, keeping the gas stranglehold around the neck of the EU, will remove another noose around the neck of Europe – the American slipknot in the form of an influx of refugees allegedly fleeing ISIS. American NGO’s, which are massively organizing an “exodus of Arabs to the EU” will collapse, and after the defeat of ISIS, EU residents will not be forced to accept millions of refugees, even if they show hundreds more staged photos of children’s corpses;
- Russia will fix itself among the main “providers of security” in the Middle East. This position is expensive in the most literal sense, as the main trade routes of the planet intersect the Middle East and the main sources of hydrocarbons are located there.
In his own time, Putin blocked the military intervention of the USA in Syria, and now Putin himself is actually leading a military intervention in Syria, and the US can’t do anything about it. It’s enough to understand who has won and who has lost the game. The US tried to intervene and failed. Russia, by forces of an international coalition, will conduct an intervention, and after yesterday it has become clear that the US already can’t stop it. Of course, they will put sticks in the wheels, but Washington already can’t block the process.
If someone thought that Obama expressed himself harshly and “showed” Russia, then this impression is solely from a misunderstanding of the situation. The confrontational variant of the statements of the leader of the US should sound like this: “Russia is the enemy of democracy, it is an aggressor, a rogue state. The international community cannot allow this country to intervene in the situation in Syria under the guise of fighting terrorism. Russia is a threat to the world on par with ISIS and the Ebola virus, as I’ve already said. If Moscow and its allies will attempt to conduct a military operation in Syria, we and our allies will be forced to take drastic measures of political, economic, and military nature.” This would be confrontational. It was specifically this which the part of the elite which sponsored and fostered ISIS, and which relied on ISIS as the main geopolitical weapon of the US in the “new American century,” demanded from Obama. From the point of view of this very significant and influential part of the American elite this is probably happening: Putin is going to destroy assets (expensive and needed assets!) of respected American elites, and the American president is smiling at the camera talking about how it’s important that “girls go to school,” that he recognizes that the US cannot solve the world’s problems, and he also allows for the possibility of constructive cooperation over Syria with Tehran and Moscow! Yes, he said that Assad must go, but everyone understands that, after the destruction of ISIS, the fate of Assad will clearly not be decided in Washington.
Imagine that you bought an expensive sports car. A certain Vladimir approached it with a bat and clear intention to break its glass, puncture its tires, and even turn it into scrap metal. Summoned to the place of this act of geopolitical vandalism, the black cop Barry, instead of shooting, starts drinking champagne with Vladimir and discusses “constructive cooperation.” The indignation of the American elites can be understood, and in this context the tirade of experts and neoconservatives from Fox News, who complain about the “shocking return of Russia” to the political olympics, is quite understandable.
It’s necessary to understand that the behavior of the part of the American elite which stands behind Obama, and who refused to go to direct confrontation over Syria, was not caused by a surge of humanity, but has a purely rational calculation underlying it. If the neo-conservatives – and they are among the Democrats (the Clintons) and the Republicans (the Koches and Kagans) – hope that with the aid of “controlled chaos” they can drive the rest of the world back to 1993, the more reasonable part of the elite (the moderate Democrats and moderate Republicans) understand that attempting to maintain global hegemony in the current environment will most likely end in not only a loss of hegemony, but losing everything in general. Actually, we are witnessing an attempt to return to 2010 within the framework of the G20, when breakthroughs were achieved in agreeing in terms of dividing spheres of influence and reforming the global financial system. How successful this return will be depends on the outcome of the intra-elite struggle in the United States. This can be judged only after a few months.
In the framework of the UN session and subsequent negotiations, an unprecedented tough stance of Beijing was recorded:
“Measures to combat terrorism can only be undertaken on the basis of the UN Charter and respecting state sovereignty and territorial integrity, and China supports Russia’s actions in this sphere,” a representative of the Foreign Ministry of China noted, as reported by TASS.
Support over Syria is good, but even more significant is the specific, targeted “kick” at the American neoconservatives in Xi’s speech.
His statement that “absolute security for one country” is unattainable is a reference as straight as an arrow to the fundamental concept of the ideology of American neo-conservatives, who believe that “absolute security” is the main value and the main purpose of foreign policy, the achievement of which justifies any crimes and any violations of international law. The principle of “absolute security” is the cornerstone of the “project for a new American century,” of overwhelmingly influential American NGO’s under the management of Robert Kagan, the husband of Victoria Nuland. The doctrine of a “new American century” became the theoretical foundation for the interventions in Iraq and Libya, the color revolutions, and the Arab Spring. Comrade Xi in fact said that there is no “new American century.” The speech of the Chinese leader deserves a separate and careful analysis, to which I hope to return in the future.
We are moving towards a period of radical changes in the global political and economic system. The sprout of these changes was indicated in New York.
Specifically, Putin harshly criticized the TTIP agreement, through which the US attempted to “gobble up” the economy of Europe, just as the EU uses “association agreements” against weaker countries. The Russian president outlined a statement for blocking the agreement which is fundamental for the US, and which for several years they have tried to push behind closed doors in spite of the resistance of European business, which really doesn’t want to die.
Putin strongly suggested that the US calm itself down, and offered Europe a Chinese-Russian model of economic integration in a common space of trade and security. This is a very serious claim with very serious consequences. As your obedient servant already wrote, “we need Berlin.”
Another statement with far-reaching consequences was voiced by Nursultan Nazarbayev, who outlined the need for creating a supranational reserve currency, that is, he in fact suggested sending the dollar into retirement. The president of Kazakhstan continues the Asian political tradition: radical proposals are voiced by Nazarbayev, and then they suddenly find support in Beijing and Moscow. But that’s a topic for another piece.
The results of the UN assembly session are the following:
- The unipolar world is dead and will never recover
- A team of gravediggers of the unipolar world has been formed and is getting to work
- ISIS has all the chances to find peace alongside the unipolar world
- The battle for the EU is entering a new phase and the Sino-Russian team has all the chances to win it
- By the spur of the moment, Russia is becoming one of the leaders of the Muslim world because of its role as the coordinator of the anti-ISIL coalition.
Everyone is implicated: King Abdullah, Nazarbayev, Xi, and, of course, Vladimir Vladimirovich, and they worked wonderfully. Everything that could have practically happened happened.