What Russia Has Done in Syria for 100 Days

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26 January,
2016


arslan.ayupoff for Sdelanounas.ru


Translated
for Fort Russ by Soviet Bear

On September
30th, 2015 Russian aerospace forces launched an operation against ISIS (banned in
Russia) in Syria. Since the beginning of the operation 100 days has passed. Let’s
try to sum up the first results of it [photos, map]

WHAT WAS BEFORE 30th SEPTEMBER?


Since
August 2014, the aircraft of the US-led coalition (it has enlisted more than 60
countries, but only 5-6 countries actually participated in the bombing of the
ISIS) conducted  more than 6,5 thousands
of air strikes. And here’s their “efficiency”: at the same time, ISIL
has expanded its control over the territory of Syria from 30 to 70%. For this
reason, the RuASF commander-in-chief Colonel-General Viktor Bondarev called
such struggle against terrorists a sham in an interview with the newspaper
“Komsomolskaya Pravda-Rostov-on-don”

WHAT HAS CHANGED AFTER SEPTEMBER 30th?

MILITARY RESULTS


During
these three months, the planes of the Russian aerospace forces (and the Russian
Navy ships from the Caspian and Mediterranean seas) carried out about one and a
half times more missile and bomb strikes against the terrorists than the American
coalition for the year. We can already say for sure: Russia is leading the
dance against ISIS and not the US. For 100 days Russia has destroyed more than
1,100 ISIS targets— depots, arsenals, factories, command and base stations,
field camps. At the same time with support from our aircraft the Syrian army
has managed to repel ISIS from almost 30% of previously captured
territories (see map).

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At the same
time we and the whole world saw a new and real condition of our army — its high
mobility and excellent professionalism of the personnel that utilizes the most
advanced military technology in the air and at sea. Judging by the reactions of
Western military experts, many of them were extremely wrong, calling the
Russian army “old and declining”. Some NATO staffs have already been
saying that they need to “catch up” with Russia…

ECONOMIC RESULTS


During
these 100 days, revenues from the sale of smuggled oil to Turkey have decreased
by more than 30%. Russian bombers destroyed such a number of the oil tanks,
which total capacity could commensurate with the volume of weekly production of
3 major oil refineries. The Russian leadership has clearly said it is not going to send
“infantry” to Syria. Therefore, the air operation may last for months
to come, and possibly for a year.

ISIS field
commanders are now forced to pay their fighters $ 200 a month instead of 500 —
1000. Many terrorists refuse to risk their lives for such a small amount of
money and want to go back into their homes.

But the
operation in Syria costs Russia 2 to 4 times less than to the USA (according to the
American experts).

At the
Russian base in Syria pilots enjoy great conditions of service.

POLITICAL RESULTS


The main intermediate
political outcome of the Russian operation in Syria is not just that ISIL is receiving a good punch in the teeth, forcing them to curtail the scale of
its “reign”. There is another, equally important outcome: Russia
managed to break the American scenario of “color revolutions” in
Syria. The fate of President Bashar al-Assad will not be decided in Washington
or the White house but by the Syrian people in the elections. And even the USA
has agreed with that already.

Syrian forces
have pushed the insurgents to Turkish borders.

Photo: Aleksandr KOTS, Dmitriy STESHIN

In
addition, Russia has managed to convince part of the armed opposition in Syria
(currently, there are about 7 thousand fighters) to forget about feuds with
Assad and to fight a common enemy  — ISIS
together with its army.

And most
importantly — for the first time after the collapse of the USSR Russia has
shown that it is once again capable of leading a successful major military
operation far away from its borders. And in this sense Russia is no longer a
regional power but the new global geopolitical player. Thus people of almost
all civilized countries look at Russia’s actions in Syria, not only with
sympathy but also with hope. Many have realized that without Moscow all efforts
to restore order in the Middle East will be in vain.

PREDICTION


It is
already clear to everyone — a quick blitzkrieg in Syria will not work. For this
we need boots on the ground. But the Russian leadership clearly says it is not
going to send “infantry” to Syria. Therefore, the air operation may
last for months and possibly a year or two. And if it continues in the same
vein, the day when the war in Syria will go into political negotiations with
the Assad opposition about the new arrangement of the country is inevitable.
But Assad would no longer be a “whipping boy” for the west, Syria
will remain a United country, and the remnants of ISIS will flee. In fact,
Russia will save the world from the “black plague” of the XXI
century, as in 1945 Russia rescued it from the “brown plague”.

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