INTRIGUE: Will North Korea become a US check on China?

Wikileaks shows that the current leader of North Korea has been reluctant to follow China’s line

11

By Denis Churilov, for FRN

 

I would really like to believe that the summit between Donald Trump and Kim Jong-un would lead to a long-lasting peace and prosperity for all, as it has been declared by the two leaders.

If Trump and Kim manage to carry on successfully with, at least, some of the declarations they made on 12.06.2018 – that would truly make it an amazing diplomatic action worthy of a Nobel Peace Prize, no doubt.

What concerns me, however, is the pattern of the US behaviour that is seen in recent history, with them and their proxies/allies making U-turns on some of the major agreements, e. g. the Iranian Deal, the assurances given to Viktor Yanukovich days before the EU let him to be violently ousted, or the previous deals made with Kim’s father, Kim Jong-il, and dozens of other examples that didn’t end well for those who trusted the US official rhetoric.

And don’t forget the friendly handshakes between Barack Obama and Muammar Gaddafi shortly before the later was let to be brutally murdered by barbaric extremists supported by the US.

Also, keep in mind that the United States has multiple political, industrial, and financial groups, all with their own interests (that don’t necessarily fall in line with public declarations made by the Trump Administration, with many blatantly and directly opposing everything the POTUS does), so, even if Trump is being sincere with his peace making efforts now, we should all be aware of his limitations when it comes to actually implementing the declared policies.

Well, let’s hope for the best, but prepare for the worst.

There’s a word, a conspiracy theory even, that Kim Jong-un was trying to establish good relations with the United States because he wants to… break out of Chinese geopolitical orbit.

Some Wikileaks materials show that since the current leader of North Korea came to power, he’s been rather reluctant to follow China’s line, unlike his father and grandfather. At least, that’s what some American diplomats used to think. The Chinese officials and military commanders have been getting increasingly frustrated with his political manoeuvres, apparently, so Kim decided to work on those elaborate diplomatic schemes that lead him closer to the US, as he was afraid that People’s Republic of China might interfere militarily.

Therefore, Kim Jong-un would actually prefer the US to have a stronger military presence on the Korean Peninsula (e. g. having more troops and military bases in South Korea), as it would restrict China and secure his position as a leader of North Korea (at least short-term).

Just a theory. We don’t know whether it’s actually true, and whether Kim Jong-un actually had serious beef with the Chinese leaders – that’s just what some people from the US diplomatic and intelligence community used to say in their internal memos and paid lectures not so long ago (and, oh boy, they are often so wrong in their judgment; read Hillary Clinton’s thoughts on Ukraine and Eurasian Trade Union when she was a State Secretary, for instance – she doesn’t normally hold herself as a particularly sophisticated or insightful politician on the issues that are of a grave geostrategical importance). So it might all be just nonsense.

If it’s true, however, then Kim is a naive, Gorbachev-like loser who didn’t get a lesson from his father’s mistakes (Kim Jong-il too used to make long-term nuclear program suspension deals with the United States, only to be ripped off; and we’ve also been observing similar thing with the Iranian Deal since Trump came to While House).

Thoughts?

Subscribe to our newsletter
Sign up here to get the latest news, updates and special offers delivered directly to your inbox.
Subscribe
Notify of
guest
11 Comments
Oldest
Newest Most Voted
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
REPTOIDCOMMAND
REPTOIDCOMMAND
3 years ago

No…….

Edgar Palacios
Edgar Palacios
3 years ago

I think the opposite. Before the meeting with mr. trumpetas, Kim was meeting with Xi Jing Pin and for sure he got guaranteed that China will back totally to North Korea if they decided to step down with the nuclear power. I think Kim got something similar from Russia. None of this countries want a nuclear problem on their borders.

FlorianGeyer
FlorianGeyer
Reply to  Edgar Palacios
3 years ago

Yes, there is NO way that China and Russia will allow US Military Tourists to sit on the banks of the Yalu River.

James
James
3 years ago

Well he still has continued in his fathers legacy with nuclear weapons which has led to increasing confrontation with the US. The whole point of the weapons was to provide a security guarantee in case the US tried to invade for whatever reason, but ironically the weapons have been the very excuse the US has been looking for. Not only is this an important step for NK to defuse the situation but it also gets the US off the doorstep of China and Russia by not practicing their war-games and other passive-aggressive threats.

Whether the US tries other excuses…..who knows, but this is an important opportunity to show the world how diplomacy can work, and/or how the US chooses not to use it.

javier
javier
3 years ago

The whole drama between fat boy and chump going back a year now seems staged, To make trump look good, to give him cover as he blows up the middle east who knows. Kim gets a pot of cia gold, whatever, it stinks.

anon12309846
anon12309846
3 years ago

Nonsense, not just North Korea even South Korea wants the Americans gone.China and Korea existed where they are for centuries before the USA ever existed, why would the Koreans be worried about the Chinese now?

FlorianGeyer
FlorianGeyer
Reply to  anon12309846
3 years ago

Even Japanese civilians want the occupying US forces gone 🙂

Todd Millions
Todd Millions
3 years ago

That is a Brilliant caption photo- It has a sufficing Over reality of satellite shots of Iraqi tanks massed on the Saudi border. But Truthier.
I think any analysis on Korea peninsula matters would have to go back(in depth)to the Japanese occupation.
The extensive Hydro power projects and who built them and the extraordinary redundancies of the dispersed turbine halls and yet highly interconnected power lines between them-
A vital complex of industries, Most of Japans Nitrate production, yet never an American bomb dropped on any of it! Tell 1950.
Then there is the A bomb program-by Imperial Japan. Same power grid.
Same caves for mine shafts and dam/road rail construction.
Most information highly purged and new dams on the same watercourse have power sent to N E China.
These Matters to will have a bearing on modern calculations.
The Humanitarian concerns of Darkest Yankydom is women wind.
No concern was shown on either side of the 38th when the unit 731 taxi service was given by US navy and air force while they were gifting them with weaponized bacteria and viruses.

Luis
Luis
3 years ago

NK is not giving up his nukes, the crumbling nuclear test site at Punngye-ri was the real danger. The Chinese and Russian where worried about the high risk of collapse who could send a radiated cloud far beyond Nk borders, not about a nuclear war. Chinese diplomats worked very well behind closed doors and came to a sort of agreement with NK: probably military protection and the use of nuclear facility in China for NK scientist. This summit was only a big show for western public, Kim is fully aware the muricans cannot be trusted. The real agreement was closed before Punngye-ri was shot down for good

FlorianGeyer
FlorianGeyer
Reply to  Luis
3 years ago

That makes good sense Luis.

Jeth Roderet
Jeth Roderet
3 years ago

Nope, not buying that US “theory” for an instant. The US killed almost one third of the DPRK’s population. No DPRK leader would ever “trust” the US. And the DPRK leadership knows very well who their real longterm partners and friends are: China and Russia. If anything, the renewed DPRK push for more diplomacy with Washington is coming as a result of China and Russia wanting that.

11
0
Would love your thoughts, please comment.x
()
x