The president of the Center for Systems Analysis and Forecasting and one of Russia's leading political analysts, Rostislav Ishchenko, explains why


The president of the Center for Systems Analysis and Forecasting and one of Russia’s leading political analysts, Rostislav Ishchenko, explains why the famous Bilderberg Club has invited Estonian Prime Minister Juri Ratas to its meeting and the relevance of the Rail Baltica trans-Baltic railway under construction…

The Prime Minister of Estonia, Juri Ratas, has flown to Turin. He was invited to a meeting of the Bilderberg Club. Conspiracy theory advocates will immediately recognize that it is this extremely exclusive Bilderberg Club that has the reputation of being the “world government”. I don’t know what they are taking about.

Perhaps they are now hinting the “world government” will be headed by an Estonian. Or, on the contrary, that the “world government” will liquidate Estonia.

But I am tormented by vague doubts. The fact of the matter is that, besides Bilderberg, there are other extremely private clubs that “experts” call the “secret world government”. For example, the Club Of Rome. I don’t know why the world needs two (or more?) “secret governments”. Especially since similar, open events are held in Davos, Saint Petersburg, and other places.

Cui bono?

During any of these meetings, the largest private investors try to receive exclusive information from the most influential politicians. And politicians try to attract gushing streams of foreign investments into their countries. The most known world media agencies highlight this process with ecstasy, often even without understanding how they are used gratuitously by both politicians and financiers for their own purposes.

The difference is that open economic forums are more accented on the media component (although a mass of meetings and events closed to foreign eyes still take place at these events), and the private clubs are focused on obtaining exclusive information behind closed doors (only for club members).

On the one hand, it is possible to assume that membership in such a private club offers an advantage (you possess exclusive information that isn’t available to anyone else). On the other hand, the structure of the persons invited to the latest meeting allows one to judge what information interests club members, and this means that we can draw conclusions about their commercial and political interests.

Further, putting two and two together, it is possible to easily work out the relevant persons’ options of action.

Old English clubs in which people drank, ate, and played cards, discussing political and business subjects in passing, were some kind of social network of the past organised on professional (their own clubs for military personnel, their own club for brokers, their club for lawyers, etc.), political (their own clubs for the Tories and the Whigs), and class (even the richest bourgeois couldn’t enter into the club for ancient aristocratic families) principles.

Today’s clubs are simpler — just business, nothing personal. You can be a genius or feeble-minded; a loyalist or an oppositionist; not know your ancestors further than your grandmother or be related to King Solomon along your father’s line, and on your mother’s line the goddess Amaterasu; you can control billions or just be a person of average prosperity. If you are possess information that is important for the current business of the club members, then you will be invited.

At different times, at different meetings of the Bilderberg club, Russian citizens present have included Grigory Yavlinsky, Liliya Shevtsova, Anatoly Chubais, Aleksey Mordashov, and Sergey Gunev.

One can’t say that this somehow influenced the destiny of these people (their views, interests, ways of life, and success in their particular fields had formed long before they participated in this club’s meetings).  This also didn’t have an impact on Russian politics, the priorities of the Russian government, or Moscow’s international position.

Therefore, the answer to the question of what Bilderberg members want from the Estonians should be sought on the plane of business interests — where they converge in political decisions is precisely the exclusivity of political information that allows members or the Bilderberg club to make the correct investment decisions.

The conjoining of business and politics does not bring in money by dictating decisions to politicians (this is the practice of the wildest oligarchs in the most backward countries, and it doesn’t bring anything good either to oligarchs or the corresponding states). Civilized sharks of business earn money by knowing before others the decisions made at the political level. And this means that they have the opportunity to sell at growth peak and to buy at the time of the steepest price drops.

At the meeting of the Bilderberg Club, besides the Prime Minister of Estonia, the head of the Baltic joint venture for the implementation of the “Rail Baltica” project Baiba Rubesa, and the Chairman of the board of the “SE3” bank, Marcus Wallenberg, were also invited. Due to a strange combination or circumstances, all of them are connected to the Rail Baltica project providing for the creation of a uniform transit railway route from Benin to Helsinki through Poland and the Baltics on the basis of the European standard concerning the width of railroad tracks.

This would allow to send echelons back and forth without changing wheeled carts and would reduce the time it takes to transportate cargo and reduce the price or their cost

Some experts point to the military-strategic value or this railroad, from the point or view of ensuring the Baltic grouping in the event of war With Russia.

From my point of view, its military value is doubtful. Not only because modern weapons will easily put this single railroad out of action, but also because NATO planned to create a grouping of troops sufficient enough to deter a hypothetical offensive or Russian troops towards the Baltics during at least two-three weeks, but only in five-seven years time. And these plans are a two-year prescription. Considering the present condition or relations between the main allies (France, Germany, Great Britain) and the US, these plans are unrealisable in principle.

Besides this, it is necessary to understand that the possibility of reinforcing the group depends not only on the capacity of tracks, but also on the ability of the respective territory to provide them with everything necessary. The Baltic states can barely cope with the present number of NATO troops.

And lastly, to have excess railroad in the event of war, of course, is good. But such a war may happen or it may not, and if it will happen, then it isn’t known when. In expectation of war, the railroad must work, and if not then it must at least make a profit to cover its maintenance. Otherwise, by the time when it will be needed by the military, the idle railroad will simply disappear.

And it is here that there is a problem. By all accounts, there Will be nothing to transport along the railroad. A stream or freight that isn’t that big goes from Germany to Finland and back — this isn’t the most animated direction for world trade. The existing infrastructure cones, and there is even a reserve. It is also not possible to count on streams of freight from Baltic ports. Without Russian transit, they rot.



In general, in the Baltics and in Poland people have started talking about whether it is worth constructing a railroad that will yield losses instead 0f profits. After all, it is the EU that is financing the construction, and there will be a need to maintain the railroad using their own money. There is serious fear that the railroad will never be constructed.

But on the other hand, in the Baltic countries (especially in Estonia, where the railroad should reach the ferry that goes to Helsinki) there are influential business circles that have planned and continue to plan to earn decent money from the project financed by the EU. And they insist on its implementation. By the way, it is precisely they who try to “sell” this road to the their countries’ publics as military-strategic infrastructure ensuring national security (after all, no questions are asked about needing to pay for security).

In other words, the situation isn’t clear, and the dear people need to learn whether to buy or sell. Moreover, they have to draw conclusions from the babble and “politicians on call” concerning what decision will be made for the long-term even if the information-bearing individual himself still hasn’t guessed.

In fact, it is this that is the essence of the art of big business connected to big-time politics. If information donors from among politicians invited to the meetings or these sorts of clubs are able to draw adequate conclusions from their knowledge, then they would turn over billions and reign in any private clubs. And current club members would consider attending their meetings at least once in their lifetime to be an honor.

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3 years ago

Nice article. Does the right thing: Follows the money track, who will benefit ?

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